Modeling Baseball At Bats

This semester in my mathematics capstone course, students had the chance to develop mathematical models to describe real world research problems.  I took this as an opportunity to research and develop probabilistic models that can be used to predict the outcome distribution of a baseball at bat.  My hope was that I could apply my findings from this research project to my side project of Beat the Streak.  I learned a lot about mathematical modeling in this class, and explored a variety of techniques for making predictions about baseball at bats.  At the end of the class, we wrote a report that introduces the models we came up with, and compares the quality of the predictions they produce.  I have made this report available here.


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